Key Takeaways
- The U.S. greenback index hit a three-year low Monday amid investor issues about tariffs, the financial outlook and doable threats to Federal Reserve independence.
- The index rallied after breaking out from a descending triangle final October, however has since fallen under the sample’s decrease trendline to substantiate a bull entice.
- Buyers ought to watch essential assist ranges on The U.S. greenback index’s chart round 95 and 90, whereas additionally monitoring key resistance ranges close to 101 and 107.
The U.S. greenback index (DXY) hit a three-year low Monday amid investor issues about tariffs, the financial outlook and doable threats to Federal Reserve independence.
President Trump on Monday ramped up his criticisms of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and demanded that the central financial institution lower charges instantly. The newest feedback got here after Trump final week mentioned Powell’s “termination can’t come quick sufficient,” whereas White Home financial advisor Keven Hassett mentioned the president is evaluating methods to probably dismiss Powell.
Buyers worry {that a} transfer by Trump to take away Powell earlier than the top of the Fed chief’s time period in Might 2026 might undermine confidence within the U.S. greenback and the nation’s dominant function in international monetary markets.
The U.S. greenback index, which measures the efficiency of the dollar in opposition to a basket of foreign exchange, has declined about 5% since early April and slumped round 9% because the begin of the yr amid uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s commerce insurance policies. The index was at 98.32 late Monday, buying and selling at its lowest ranges since March 2022.
Beneath, we break down the technicals on the U.S. greenback index weekly chart and determine essential ranges price watching out for amid the potential for additional information-driven volatility.
Bull Lure Confirms
After breaking out from a descending triangle final October, the U.S. greenback index rallied for a number of months however bumped into promoting strain because it approached its 2022 excessive. Since that point, the index has trended sharply decrease, just lately falling under the sample’s decrease trendline to substantiate a bull entice, a buying and selling occasion that lures buyers into shopping for earlier than the market makes a sudden reversal to trigger losses.
Nevertheless, whereas the relative energy index (RSI) confirms bearish momentum, the indicator has moved into oversold territory, growing the chance of near-term bounces.
Let’s determine essential assist and resistance ranges on the U.S. greenback index chart that buyers could also be monitoring.
Essential Assist Ranges to Watch
The primary decrease stage to look at sits round 95. The index might appeal to shopping for curiosity on this space close to a horizontal line that connects a number of peaks and troughs on the chart between October 2017 and January 2022.
A extra vital transfer decrease might see the index revisit decrease assist at 90. Buyers might search entry factors on this location close to two distinguished swing lows that developed on the chart within the first half of 2021, previous a 15-month bull run.
This space additionally sits within the neighborhood of a projected measured transfer draw back goal that calculates the gap of the descending triangle close to its widest level and deducts that quantity from the sample’s decrease trendline.
Key Resistance Ranges to Monitor
Throughout upswings, it’s price intently monitoring the important thing 101 stage. Countertrend rallies to this space would doubtless face promoting strain close to the descending triangle’s decrease trendline, which can flip from a area of prior assist into future resistance.
Additional upside might spark a transfer to round 107. Tactical merchants who’ve gathered positions within the U.S. greenback index at decrease ranges might determine to lock in earnings right here close to the notable October 2023 swing excessive, which additionally intently aligns with a minor peak that shaped on the chart final November.
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